Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

XRF / USDC

GCHI…TXRF

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 6.14 USDC (shortened; full value 6.140268543233971775601954891958778427574069571106 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%: buy5.94 USDC (shortened; full value 5.9453672266023578850257065173 USDC)sell6.05 USDC (shortened; full value 6.059433519593256821673526129246285271641956811043 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 53.19 USDC (shortened; full value 53.19911220567439648 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 7 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Higher at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 2.29 USDC (shortened; full value 2.2903348371155808123993118287 USDC)
Highest: 11.84 USDC (shortened; full value 11.8410695589879558990118459839 USDC)

2026-10-27T01:54:33Z — 2026-11-03T00:54:39ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 2.39 USDC (shortened; full value 2.3962903512773126056003633074 USDC)
5% from mid: 5.94 USDC (shortened; full value 5.94709918372306227676386897 USDC)
10% from mid: 11.75 USDC (shortened; full value 11.7542077662014640907907663175 USDC)

168 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

Cheap next to real tradingnowMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW

throughout

Price sources disagreenowPRICE_SOURCE_CONFLICT

throughout

Extreme spreadnowSPREAD_EXTREME

throughout

One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 53.19 USDC (shortened; full value 53.19911220567439648 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 53.19 USDC (shortened; full value 53.19911220567439648 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh