Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

SSLX / USDC

GBHF…37UR

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 0.04 USDC (shortened; full value 0.04698945000120145531218 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%: buy102.16 USDC (shortened; full value 102.1660771044363973659559026207 USDC)sell65.22 USDC (shortened; full value 65.229389662558320198744977248811926894879757311512 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 0.18 USDC (shortened; full value 0.18795780000480582124872 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 5 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Higher at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 0 USDC
Highest: 324.79 USDC (shortened; full value 324.7964955344540862150133731727 USDC)

2026-10-26T23:54:13Z — 2026-11-02T22:54:14ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 53.08 USDC (shortened; full value 53.0879038715324939346436716026 USDC)
5% from mid: 102.34 USDC (shortened; full value 102.346572256156193301397458898 USDC)
10% from mid: 182.90 USDC (shortened; full value 182.9058052185170760803610517285 USDC)

168 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

Cheap next to real tradingnowMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW

throughout

One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

Extreme spreadSPREAD_EXTREME

121 of 168

Price sources disagreePRICE_SOURCE_CONFLICT

112 of 168

Nothing tradable within 2%ZERO_DEPTH_2PCT

31 of 168

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 0.18 USDC (shortened; full value 0.18795780000480582124872 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 0.18 USDC (shortened; full value 0.18795780000480582124872 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh