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keel
Ledger
65,274,974
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
8s

BTCLN against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

BTCLN / USDC

GDPK…VBVT

Risk band

High

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
9.92 USDC (shortened; full value 9.92002691885496247053149844896208523018979560934 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%
buy9.60 USDC (shortened; full value 9.6051503640005808681184059857 USDC)sell9.78 USDC (shortened; full value 9.78943241898889434171896110436557683611942161577 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
21,000.07 USDC (shortened; full value 21000.07406870005819486444238 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
3 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Cost to move the price 50%

The stored series carries one manipulation rung, the +50% move. A reading the engine could not produce breaks the line rather than sitting at zero.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
21,000.07 USDC (shortened; full value 21000.07406870005819486444238 USDC)
Highest
62,969.98 USDC (shortened; full value 62969.98700440011350486444238 USDC)
2026-10-26T23:53:33Z — 2026-11-02T22:53:29Z
Cost to move +50%
21,000.07 USDC (shortened; full value 21000.07406870005819486444238 USDC)
168 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout
Price sources disagreenowPRICE_SOURCE_CONFLICT91 of 168
Nothing tradable within 2%ZERO_DEPTH_2PCT77 of 168

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
21,000.07 USDC (shortened; full value 21000.07406870005819486444238 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
21,000.07 USDC (shortened; full value 21000.07406870005819486444238 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh