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keel
Ledger
65,278,214
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
2s

AQUA against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

AQUA / USDC

GBNZ…AQUA

Risk band

Medium

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
5,593.28 USDC (shortened; full value 5593.280460474930641159815665 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%
buy6,419.61 USDC (shortened; full value 6419.6129176908936367641433742324 USDC)sell15,137.11 USDC (shortened; full value 15137.111069875652036051812577456849717620386344133572 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
22,373.12 USDC (shortened; full value 22373.12184189972256463926266 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Cost to move the price 50%

The stored series carries one manipulation rung, the +50% move. A reading the engine could not produce breaks the line rather than sitting at zero.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
16,445.08 USDC (shortened; full value 16445.08739119985703658811379 USDC)
Highest
25,075.51 USDC (shortened; full value 25075.51111629968596314615351 USDC)
2026-10-27T03:53:28Z — 2026-11-03T03:23:29Z
Cost to move +50%
22,172.23 USDC (shortened; full value 22172.23856349977478069979903 USDC)
169 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout
Cheap next to real tradingMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW90 of 169

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
22,373.12 USDC (shortened; full value 22373.12184189972256463926266 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
22,373.12 USDC (shortened; full value 22373.12184189972256463926266 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh