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keel
Ledger
65,276,426
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
5s

USTRY against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

USTRY / USDC

GCRY…MYWC

Risk band

High

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
66,530.76 USDC (shortened; full value 66530.769833191784267621773205 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%
buy266,123.50 USDC (shortened; full value 266123.5046933235030529713233848701 USDC)sell263,121.86 USDC (shortened; full value 263121.86125624626725554299788035301874789623588867915 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
266,123.07 USDC (shortened; full value 266123.07933276713707048709282 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Source

Every stored reading from this source, whenever it was taken

A reconstruction is written where a replay ran rather than on the scan's cadence, so there is no window to choose: the engine returns the readings it holds and the axis below is labelled from them.

Price

The midpoint the engine read at each scan. It says what the market quotes, not what it can absorb.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
1.05554418 USDC (shortened; full value 1.0555441846982006 USDC)
Highest
1.05790300 USDC (shortened; full value 1.05790300000000005 USDC)
2026-02-22T00:01:24Z — 2026-02-22T00:10:21Z
Mid price
1.05554418 USDC (shortened; full value 1.0555441846982006 USDC)
3 readings from offers-implied, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME0 of 3
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH0 of 3
Cheap to move the priceMANIPULATION_CHEAP2 of 3
Price sources disagreePRICE_SOURCE_CONFLICT2 of 3
Extreme spreadSPREAD_EXTREME2 of 3
Thin depth at 5%THIN_DEPTH_5PCT2 of 3

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
266,123.07 USDC (shortened; full value 266123.07933276713707048709282 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0.16 USDC (shortened; full value 0.1616668 USDC)

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
1,646,120.7825 (shortened; full value 1646120.7825772956294705350314350256)

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
266,123.24 USDC (shortened; full value 266123.24099956713707048709282 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh