Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

USDZ / USDC

GAKT…6XPR

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 1,039.86 USDC (shortened; full value 1039.8632738225335481645223275 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%: buy4,616.93 USDC (shortened; full value 4616.9363092271799306447532645886 USDC)sell3,881.21 USDC (shortened; full value 3881.214660412402319536655949454402903581126027030368 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 4,159.45 USDC (shortened; full value 4159.45309529013419265808931 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Higher at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 4,348.97 USDC (shortened; full value 4348.970957000661407832203019306 USDC)
Highest: 5,087.87 USDC (shortened; full value 5087.8759428385527777720413518973 USDC)

2026-11-03T23:54:29Z — 2026-11-04T02:54:24ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 4,383.68 USDC (shortened; full value 4383.6819171111063454498602940625 USDC)
5% from mid: 4,650.88 USDC (shortened; full value 4650.8843570814331385427500803473 USDC)
10% from mid: 5,087.87 USDC (shortened; full value 5087.8759428385527777720413518973 USDC)

2 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 4,159.45 USDC (shortened; full value 4159.45309529013419265808931 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 114.14 USDC (shortened; full value 114.144133 USDC)
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: 36.4403 (shortened; full value 36.4403582205152339512543260546)
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 4,273.59 USDC (shortened; full value 4273.59722829013419265808931 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh