Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

SSLX / USDC

GBHF…37UR

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 0.04 USDC (shortened; full value 0.04698945000120145531218 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%: buy87.36 USDC (shortened; full value 87.3605583082725425932042332433 USDC)sell80.36 USDC (shortened; full value 80.36044218623306796556165646926953371069751914916 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 0.18 USDC (shortened; full value 0.18795780000480582124872 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 5 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 0 USDC
Highest: 460.35 USDC (shortened; full value 460.3559264090385214009187220453 USDC)

2026-10-04T23:54:12Z — 2026-10-25T00:24:13ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 41.20 USDC (shortened; full value 41.208858962082217948993770282 USDC)
5% from mid: 102.27 USDC (shortened; full value 102.271901802268981451472454893 USDC)
10% from mid: 202.13 USDC (shortened; full value 202.1363937764120475754025587 USDC)

22 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

Cheap next to real tradingnowMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW

throughout

One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

Extreme spreadSPREAD_EXTREME

18 of 22

Price sources disagreePRICE_SOURCE_CONFLICT

17 of 22

Nothing tradable within 2%ZERO_DEPTH_2PCT

4 of 22

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 0.18 USDC (shortened; full value 0.18795780000480582124872 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 0.18 USDC (shortened; full value 0.18795780000480582124872 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh