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keel
Ledger
65,276,598
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
2s

GROG against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

GROG / USDC

GBE2…TECL

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
40.62 USDC (shortened; full value 40.620229678870089910316573730800811279548386076928 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%
buy0 USDCsell53.91 USDC (shortened; full value 53.919948882718038363540802868479018830246358262528 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
6 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Collateral ceiling

The most this asset could back at each reading: the lower of the liquidation and manipulation limits.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
41.06 USDC (shortened; full value 41.069057302102301770295573806465269239562204347915 USDC)
Highest
46.68 USDC (shortened; full value 46.681690999764402938509430579741280654343670776315 USDC)
2026-10-04T01:53:47Z — 2026-10-24T21:08:48Z
Max safe collateral
41.35 USDC (shortened; full value 41.3502989713184177247872789086624128275556265149615 USDC)
501 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Nothing tradable within 2%nowZERO_DEPTH_2PCTthroughout
Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAPthroughout
Extreme spreadnowSPREAD_EXTREMEthroughout
One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREMEthroughout
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh