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keel
Ledger
65,275,702
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
7s

GROG against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

GROG / USDC

GBE2…TECL

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
40.65 USDC (shortened; full value 40.658384112958926103942730556565865900297288026052 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%
buy0 USDCsell53.99 USDC (shortened; full value 53.996260662773960604597787122364619338074540651426 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
6 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Collateral ceiling

The most this asset could back at each reading: the lower of the liquidation and manipulation limits.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
40.68 USDC (shortened; full value 40.683564535622589361346923990498686882979863806575 USDC)
Highest
41.20 USDC (shortened; full value 41.20849043661249555289990308887655356862713696546 USDC)
2026-11-02T00:53:49Z — 2026-11-02T23:53:49Z
Max safe collateral
40.68 USDC (shortened; full value 40.683564535622589361346923990498686882979863806575 USDC)
24 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Nothing tradable within 2%nowZERO_DEPTH_2PCTthroughout
Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAPthroughout
Extreme spreadnowSPREAD_EXTREMEthroughout
One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREMEthroughout
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh