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keel
Ledger
65,277,673
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
8s

AQUA against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

AQUA / USDC

GBNZ…AQUA

Risk band

Medium

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
5,541.03 USDC (shortened; full value 5541.0385357748268691565514475 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%
buy5,288.87 USDC (shortened; full value 5288.8769512934432228142082807591 USDC)sell15,118.04 USDC (shortened; full value 15118.040633544368979477357619079145244766737853676832 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
22,164.15 USDC (shortened; full value 22164.15414309930747662620579 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
2 triggered3 not evaluated

Price

The midpoint the engine read at each scan. It says what the market quotes, not what it can absorb.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
0.00027370 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00027370469484075 USDC)
Highest
0.00027995 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00027995092385625 USDC)
2026-11-02T02:53:24Z — 2026-11-03T02:38:29Z
Mid price
0.00027370 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00027370469484075 USDC)
25 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout
Cheap next to real tradingMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW6 of 25

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
22,164.15 USDC (shortened; full value 22164.15414309930747662620579 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
22,164.15 USDC (shortened; full value 22164.15414309930747662620579 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh