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keel
Ledger
65,277,494
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
2s

AQUA against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

AQUA / USDC

GBNZ…AQUA

Risk band

High

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
5,217.37 USDC (shortened; full value 5217.3794598748270189374899925 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%
buy8,984.97 USDC (shortened; full value 8984.9774945317682769177222012128 USDC)sell7,434.13 USDC (shortened; full value 7434.130935395723593905679623956529106865032868899527 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
20,869.51 USDC (shortened; full value 20869.51783949930807574995997 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
3 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Cost to move the price 50%

The stored series carries one manipulation rung, the +50% move. A reading the engine could not produce breaks the line rather than sitting at zero.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
10,533.84 USDC (shortened; full value 10533.8481771006772089256981 USDC)
Highest
36,990.15 USDC (shortened; full value 36990.15165400051013194562894 USDC)
2026-10-04T02:53:27Z — 2026-10-24T22:23:28Z
Cost to move +50%
21,797.44 USDC (shortened; full value 21797.44713270073948393018831 USDC)
501 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout
Cheap next to real tradingnowMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW401 of 501

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
20,869.51 USDC (shortened; full value 20869.51783949930807574995997 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
20,869.51 USDC (shortened; full value 20869.51783949930807574995997 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh