Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

AIus / USDC

GDBY…4QWU

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 0.00000020 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00000020000824 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%: buy30.32 USDC (shortened; full value 30.3284095934057325235044286841 USDC)sell30.91 USDC (shortened; full value 30.910282692707355465403517699469221499807154998192 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 0.00000080 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00000080003296 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 7 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 12.57 USDC (shortened; full value 12.5714761750235555538161118046 USDC)
Highest: 69.78 USDC (shortened; full value 69.7838190809589670596531117356 USDC)

2026-10-04T23:53:22Z — 2026-10-24T21:08:23ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 12.57 USDC (shortened; full value 12.5714761750235555538161118046 USDC)
5% from mid: 31.19 USDC (shortened; full value 31.1998150219252835556198095298 USDC)
10% from mid: 61.66 USDC (shortened; full value 61.6652079787880485613200413359 USDC)

21 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

Cheap next to real tradingnowMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW

throughout

Price sources disagreenowPRICE_SOURCE_CONFLICT

throughout

Extreme spreadnowSPREAD_EXTREME

throughout

One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 0.00000080 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00000080003296 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 0.00000080 USDC (shortened; full value 0.00000080003296 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh